From "Economic Man" to Behavior Economics: A Short History of Modern Decision Making
From "Economic Man" to Behavior Economics: A Short History of Modern Decision Making
Research into the decision making process accelerated during World War II, focusing on the development of a standard approach to evaluating options with regard to an uncertain future. Decision analysis emerged in the 1960s, combining computer modeling, Bayesian statistics, expected utility, and engineering techniques. The heuristics-and-biases approach emerged soon after. These two decision-making philosophies are joined by a third: intuition, or "going with one's gut." Decision analysis is best for use with reliable data; heuristics/biases is best for understanding priorities and avoiding mistakes; intuition is best for learning opportunities or in highly unpredictable situations in which data is unreliable.
CITATION: Fox, Justin. From "Economic Man" to Behavior Economics: A Short History of Modern Decision Making . : Harvard Business School Press , 2015. Harvard Business Review, Vol. 93, No. 5, May 2015, pp. 78-85 - Available at: https://library.au.int/economic-man-behavior-economics-short-history-modern-decision-making